Dynamic order acceptance and capacity planning on a single bottleneck resource

We present a tactical decision model for order acceptance and capacity planning that maximizes the expected profits from accepted orders, allowing for aggregate regular as well as nonregular capacity. The stream of incoming order arrivals is the main source of uncertainty in dynamic order acceptance and the company only has forecasts of the main properties of the future incoming projects. Project proposals arrive sequentially with deterministic interarrival times and a decision on order acceptance and capacity planning needs to be made each time a proposal arrives and its project characteristics are revealed. We apply stochastic dynamic programming to determine a profit threshold for the accept/reject decision as well as to deterministically allocate a single bottleneck resource to the accepted projects, both with an eye on maximizing the expected revenues within the problem horizon. We derive a number of managerial insights based on an analysis of the influence of project and environmental characteristics on optimal project selection and aggregate capacity usage. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

高动态GPS抗干扰算法仿真研究

对于高动态条件下GPS(global positioning system)接收机的抗干扰问题,研究等距线阵接收信号模型和基于协方差矩阵扩张的基本原理,并仿真分析了2种基于协方差矩阵扩张的经典抗干扰算法:Mailloux算法和Zatman算法在高动态环境下的作用效果.经过Matlab仿真,结果表明,相比与常规方法,Ma...     

分级燃烧循环发动机变工况的模糊控制

研究了一种模糊控制方法 ,并用于分级燃烧循环液体火箭发动机变工况过程的反馈控制。仿真研究表明 :在抑制参数抖振方面 ,模糊控制优于一般的变结构控制     

近水面细长体的水动力导数数值计算1

引进细长体的假定 ,把三维的流体运动问题化成了二维的非定常问题 ,前面剖面对后面剖面的干扰作用用积分表示 ,改善了切片理论。根据物面条件把整个问题的求解分解为兴波问题和振荡问题 ,而振荡问题可由兴波问题的适当组合表示出来。这样 ,大大简化了问题的求解。作为例子 ,本文用数值方法计算了细长回转体的水动力导数 ,给出了结果     

复合材料层合圆柱壳的动力响应与层间应力

采用分层壳理论和厚度方向的二次插值函数推导出正交铺设层合圆柱壳的动力响应方程,并得出简支层合圆柱壳自由振动问题的解.对于给定算例,计算出的自振频率与三维分析的结果吻合良好,说明所推导的二维解具有足够精度.计算了前四阶模态对应的壳中应力.计算结果说明,对于高阶模态,层间应力相对于面内应力的比值远高于低阶模态的对应比值,高的层间正应力是高阶模态导致脱层破坏的主要原因.     

连续动态贝叶斯网络实现多传感器融合跟踪

利用多传感器数据进行目标跟踪,关键是怎样将多传感器的数据合理应用来对系统的状态做出最佳估计。提出应用连续动态贝叶斯网络的方法,结合卡尔曼滤波器模型,实现用多传感器数据进行目标跟踪的方法,并对算法进行了推导和验证。仿真结果证明了提出的多传感器数据互相修正融合滤波方法具有良好的滤波效果,并能够弥补传感器数据缺失和抑制脉冲噪声。     

迫弹引信动态模拟试验的终点效应相似准则

本文从动态模拟试验与靶场验收试验的等效性出发,根据瞬发发火和惯性发火作用机理的不同,分别建立了迫弹引信在碰击靶板过程中着发机构的物理数学模型,从理论上推导了考核引信瞬发发火可靠性和惯性发火可靠性的相似准则,即模拟弹着靶速度与靶场验收试验时实弹着靶速度间的关系。     

火控系统输出误差分离方法

本文提出的火控系统输出误差的分离法,为利用动态飞行试验数据评价火控系统及其火控系统子系统的性能提供了一种方法。     

基于Petri网的近程防空武器射击建模

提出一种扩展时延Petri网,新提出的Petri网与以往高级时延Petri网的不同之处在于它允许个体的个性与共性同样得到考虑。这种方法被用来对装备多跟踪装置、多种对空武器的防空系统对多目标进行射击过程进行建模、分析、模型的正确性在文章最后的仿真中得到了验证。     

A parallel machine replacement model

This paper considers a finite horizon parallel machine replacement problem where a fixed number of machines is in operation at all times. The operating cost for a machine goes up as the machine gets older. An older machine may have to be replaced by a new one when its operating cost becomes too high. There is a fixed order cost associated with the purchase of new machines. Machine purchase prices and salvage values may depend on the period in which they were purchased. The objective is to find a replacement plan that minimizes the total discounted cost over the problem horizon. We believe that the costs in our model are more commonly observed in practice than those previously used in the literature. The paper develops properties of optimal solutions and an efficient forward‐time algorithm to find an optimal replacement plan. A dominance property is developed that further limits the options to be considered, and a simple forecast horizon result is also presented. Future research possibilities are mentioned. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 275–287, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (http://www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10012